betway必威登陆网址 (betway.com )学报››2022,Vol. 43››Issue (6): 454-458.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.2097-0005.2022.06.011

• 公共卫生与预防医学 •上一篇下一篇

中国2009—2019年结直肠癌死亡趋势分析

朱文鹏(), 余浩, 程甜甜, 邹云飞()

  1. 皖南医学院公共卫生学院,安徽 芜湖 241002
  • 收稿日期:2022-02-06出版日期:2022-06-25发布日期:2022-06-24
  • 通讯作者:邹云飞
  • 作者简介:朱文鹏,硕士研究生,研究方向:社会医学与卫生事业管理,E-mail:1154618349@qq.com
  • 基金资助:
    安徽省高校协同创新项目(GXXT-2020-067);安徽省大学生创新创业训练计划(S202010368008);皖南医学院大学生科研资助项目(WK2020S31)

Analysis of mortality trend of colorectal cancer in China from 2009 to 2019

Wenpeng ZHU(), Hao YU, Tiantian CHENG, Yunfei ZOU()

  1. School of Public Health of Wannan Medical College,Wuhu 241002,China
  • Received:2022-02-06Online:2022-06-25Published:2022-06-24
  • Contact:Yunfei ZOU

摘要: 目的

研究中国2009—2019年城乡居民结直肠癌的死亡趋势,为我国结直肠癌的防治提供科学依据。

方法

统计中国2009—2019年城乡男女的结直肠癌死亡率,并计算标化死亡率,利用Joinpoint软件分析城市男女、农村男女结直肠癌的死亡趋势。

结果

城市的结直肠癌死亡率高于农村,男性的结直肠癌死亡率高于女性。城市居民结直肠癌死亡率整体为下降趋势[平均年度变化百分比(average annual percent change,AAPC) = -1.26%,P< 0.05],其中城市女性结直肠癌死亡率也为下降趋势(AAPC = -2.10%,P< 0.05)。中国农村居民和农村男性结直肠癌死亡率在2009—2013年呈下降趋势[年度变化百分比(annual percent change, APC) = -6.30%、-7.04%,P< 0.05],在2013—2019年呈上升趋势(APC = 3.32%、3.69%,P< 0.05),农村女性在2009—2012年结直肠癌死亡率呈下降趋势(APC = -8.25%,P< 0.05),在2012—2019年呈上升趋势(APC = 2.17%,P< 0.05)。地区、性别、年龄均是结直肠癌死亡的独立危险因素。城市居民结直肠癌的死亡风险是农村居民的1.31倍(95%CI:1.02~1.69);男性结直肠癌的死亡风险是女性的1.57倍(95%CI:1.22~2.02);年龄每增加5岁,结直肠癌的死亡风险增加1.26倍(95%CI:1.22~1.31);随年份增长,结直肠癌死亡风险每年降低1%,但差异无统计学意义(P> 0.05)。

结论

我国2009—2019年城市居民和城市女性居民的结直肠癌死亡率呈下降趋势,但农村男性和农村女性在2012年以后有上升趋势。应继续加强结直肠癌的防治工作,重视农村地区的预防。

关键词:结直肠癌,死亡趋势,危险因素

Abstract: Objective

To study the mortality trend of colorectal cancer among urban and rural residents in China from 2009 to 2019, so as to provide scientific basis for the prevention and treatment of colorectal cancer in China.

Methods

The mortality rate of colorectal cancer in urban and rural areas of China from 2009 to 2019 was counted, and the standardized mortality rate was calculated. The death trend of colorectal cancer in urban men and women, rural men and women was analyzed by using Joinpoint Regression Software.

Results

Colorectal cancer mortality was higher in urban areas than in rural areas and was higher in men than in women. The overall mortality rate of colorectal cancer among urban residents showed a downward trend (AAPC = -1.26%,P< 0.05), and the mortality rate of colorectal cancer among urban women also showed a downward trend (AAPC = -2.10%,P< 0.05). The colorectal cancer mortality rate of rural residents and rural men in China showed a downward trend in 2009-2013 (APC = -6.30%, -7.04%,P< 0.05), and an upward trend in 2013—2019 (APC = 3.32%, 3.69%,P< 0.05). The colorectal cancer mortality rate of rural women showed a downward trend in 2009—2012 (APC = -8.25%,P< 0.05), and an upward trend in 2012—2019 (APC = 2.17%,P< 0.05). Region, gender, and age were all independent risk factors for colorectal cancer death. The mortality risk of colorectal cancer in urban residents was 1.31 times as that in rural residents (95%CI: 1.02~1.69). The risk of death from colorectal cancer was 1.57 times higher in men than in women (95%CI: 1.22~2.02); For each 5-year-old increase, the risk of death from colorectal cancer increased by 1.26 times (95%CI: 1.22~1.31); The risk of death from colorectal cancer decreased by 1% with year, there was not statistically significant.

Conclusion

The mortality of colorectal cancer among urban residents and urban women in China from 2009 to 2019 shows a declining trend, but rural men and rural women have an increasing trend after 2012. We should continue to strengthen the prevention and treatment of colorectal cancer, pay attention to the prevention in rural areas.

Key words:colorectal cancer,death trend,risk factor